TY - JOUR
T1 - Technology interdependency in the United Kingdom's low carbon energy transition
AU - Pye, Steve
AU - Li, Pei Hao
AU - Keppo, Ilkka
AU - O'Gallachoir, Brian
PY - 2019/4
Y1 - 2019/4
N2 - The role of different technologies in a future low carbon energy system is determined by numerous factors, many of which are highly uncertain. Their deployment may be a function of dependency on other technologies, or competition, or wider system effects. In this paper, using a UK example, we explore patterns of interdependency between technologies using a hierarchical clustering approach across multiple scenarios. We find that technologies compete in some instances, often on costs, cluster because they co-depend on each other, or emerge under all conditions, as robust options. Crucially, the broader scenario framing around carbon capture and storage (CCS) availability and climate policy stringency strongly influences these interdependencies.
AB - The role of different technologies in a future low carbon energy system is determined by numerous factors, many of which are highly uncertain. Their deployment may be a function of dependency on other technologies, or competition, or wider system effects. In this paper, using a UK example, we explore patterns of interdependency between technologies using a hierarchical clustering approach across multiple scenarios. We find that technologies compete in some instances, often on costs, cluster because they co-depend on each other, or emerge under all conditions, as robust options. Crucially, the broader scenario framing around carbon capture and storage (CCS) availability and climate policy stringency strongly influences these interdependencies.
KW - Energy system models
KW - Low carbon pathways
KW - Scenario clustering
KW - Technology interdependency
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85064390873&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.esr.2019.04.002
DO - 10.1016/j.esr.2019.04.002
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85064390873
VL - 24
SP - 314
EP - 330
JO - Energy Strategy Reviews
JF - Energy Strategy Reviews
SN - 2211-467X
ER -