Why pay attention to paths in the practice of environmental modelling?

Tuomas J. Lahtinen*, Joseph H. A. Guillaume, Raimo Hämäläinen

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

22 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Taking the 'path perspective' helps to understand and improve the practice of environmental modelling and decision making. A path is the sequence of steps taken in a modelling project. The problem solving team faces several forks where alternative choices can be made. These choices determine the path, together with the impact of uncertainties and exogenous effects. This paper discusses phenomena that influence the problem solvers' choices at the forks. Situations are described where it can be desirable to re-direct the path or backtrack on it. Phenomena are identified that can cause the modelling project to get stuck on a poor path. The concept of a path draws attention to the interplay of behavioral phenomena and the sequential nature of modelling processes. This helps understand the overall effect of the behavioral phenomena. A path checklist is developed to help practitioners detect forks and reflect on the path of the modelling project. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)74-81
Number of pages8
JournalEnvironmental Modelling and Software
Volume92
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2017
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

Keywords

  • Path dependence
  • Biases
  • Behavior
  • Decision making
  • Policy making
  • Problem solving
  • OPERATIONAL-RESEARCH
  • RESOURCE MANAGERS
  • DECISION-SUPPORT
  • UNCERTAINTY
  • DEPENDENCE
  • PREFERENCE
  • POLICY
  • BIASES
  • CONSTRUCTION
  • PERSPECTIVE

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