Treating uncertain criteria and stakeholder preference information in environmental multi-criteria decision problems

R. Lahdelma*, Pekka Salminen

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionScientificpeer-review

Abstract

Environmental planning and decision-making processes are difficult, because they involve the evaluation of several alternatives in terms of multiple non-commensurate criteria, and a choice must be made considering the points of view of many different stakeholders with conflicting preferences. Much of the associated information can be highly imprecise or uncertain. Successful multicriteria decision aid (MCDA) methods for such problems should be able to represent explicitly not only the criteria and preference information, but also the associated uncertainty. We describe how to represent imprecise and/or uncertain criteria measurements and stakeholder preferences through probability distributions, and how to efficiently aggregate this information using stochastic simulation. As an example, we reanalyze the problem of choosing among different options for developing the Helsinki general cargo harbor. We perform the analysis by using the Stochastic Multicriteria Acceptability Analysis (SMAA-2) method with multivariate Gaussian distributions.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationManagement Using Comparative Risk Assessment and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
Subtitle of host publicationManagement Using Comparative Risk Assessment and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
EditorsIgor Linkov, Gregory A. Kiker, Richard J. Wenning
Pages233-249
Number of pages17
ISBN (Electronic)978-1-4020-5802-8
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2007
MoE publication typeA4 Article in a conference publication
EventNATO Advanced Research Workshop - Thessaloniki , Greece
Duration: 17 Apr 200521 Apr 2005

Publication series

NameNATO Security through Science Series, Series C: Environmental Security
PublisherSpringer Netherlands
NumberPart 3
ISSN (Print)1871-4668

Workshop

WorkshopNATO Advanced Research Workshop
Abbreviated titleARW
CountryGreece
CityThessaloniki
Period17/04/200521/04/2005

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Treating uncertain criteria and stakeholder preference information in environmental multi-criteria decision problems'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this