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The Impacts of Energy Sanctions on the Black-Market Premium Evidence from Iran

  • Omid Zamani*
  • , Mohammad Reza Farzanegan
  • , Jens Peter Loy
  • , Majid Einian
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • University of Marburg
  • Kiel University
  • Central Bank of Iran
  • Thünen Institute of Market Analysis

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review

11 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This study extends the literature by analyzing the effects of energy sanctions on the black-market premium on the Iranian Rial – U.S. dollar exchange rate. Using a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model from 1959 to 2017, we find that falling oil revenues as a result of sanctions have an increasing impact on the black-market premium.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)432-443
Number of pages12
JournalEconomics Bulletin
Volume41
Issue number2
Publication statusPublished - 2021
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

Keywords

  • exchange rate
  • shocks
  • trade
  • tests

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