Abstract
This study extends the literature by analyzing the effects of energy sanctions on the black-market premium on the Iranian Rial – U.S. dollar exchange rate. Using a nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model from 1959 to 2017, we find that falling oil revenues as a result of sanctions have an increasing impact on the black-market premium.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 432-443 |
| Number of pages | 12 |
| Journal | Economics Bulletin |
| Volume | 41 |
| Issue number | 2 |
| Publication status | Published - 2021 |
| MoE publication type | A1 Journal article-refereed |
Keywords
- exchange rate
- shocks
- trade
- tests
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