Strategic factors and the use of risk analysis techniques in strategic investment decisions

Jari Huikku*, Jouko Karjalainen, Tomi Seppälä

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

Abstract

Risk analysis techniques (RATs) greatly support managers in obtaining a more comprehensive view of the threats and opportunities of strategic investment proposals. Our study investigates what strategic factors influence the use of RATs. Specifically, we address the frequency of use of the most common RATs, such as sensitivity, scenario, simulation, and CAPM analyses. We investigate firms’ strategic factors, such as corporate strategy, business strategy, and financial strategy. We test our hypotheses using multiple linear regression and data from 105 structured interviews from among the 150 largest Finnish manufacturing companies. We contribute to prior literature by showing that corporate strategy (parenting style) moderates the effect between business strategy and the use of RATs. Previous literature suggests that RATs are likely less useful in prospector-type business strategies entailing high external uncertainty. Nevertheless, we show that prospectors using the strategic planning style – a style suggested to suit corporations with high synergy potential between business units – employ RATs more frequently than the prospectors using the other parenting styles. We also provide clear evidence that difficulties in the availability of funding encourage companies to use RATs more frequently.
Original languageEnglish
JournalAccounting and Business Research
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 7 May 2025
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

Keywords

  • scenario analysis
  • sensitivity analysis
  • strategic investment decision-making
  • capital budgeting
  • risk analysis techniques

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