Scenario Analysis for the Safety Assessment of Nuclear Waste Repositories: A Critical Review

Edoardo Tosoni, Ahti Salo, Enrico Zio

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

5 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

A major challenge in scenario analysis for the safety assessment of nuclear waste repositories pertains to the comprehensiveness of the set of scenarios selected for assessing the safety of the repository. Motivated by this challenge, we discuss the aspects of scenario analysis relevant to comprehensiveness. Specifically, we note that (1) it is necessary to make it clear why scenarios usually focus on a restricted set of features, events, and processes; (2) there is not yet consensus on the interpretation of comprehensiveness for guiding the generation of scenarios; and (3) there is a need for sound approaches to the treatment of epistemic uncertainties.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)755-776
Number of pages22
JournalRisk Analysis
Volume38
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Apr 2018
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

Keywords

  • nuclear waste repositories
  • safety assessment
  • scenario analysis

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