Quantifying the effect of noise, vibration and motion on human performance in ship collision and grounding risk assessment

Jakub Montewka, Floris Goerlandt, Gemma Innes-Jones, Douglas Owen, Yasmine Hifi, Markus Porthin

    Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionScientificpeer-review

    5 Citations (Scopus)


    Risk-based design (RBD) methodology for ships is a relatively new and a fast developing discipline. However, quantification of human error contribution to the risk of collision or grounding within RBD has not been considered before. This paper introduces probabilistic models linking the effect of ship motion, vibration and noise with risk through the mediating agent of a crewmember. The models utilize the concept of Attention Management, which combines the theories described by Dynamic Adaptability Model, Cognitive Control Model and Malleable Attentional Resources Theory. To model the risk, an uncertainty-based approach is taken, under which the available background knowledge is systematically translated into a coherent network and the evidential uncertainty is qualitatively assessed. The obtained results are promising as the models are responsive to changes in the GDF nodes as expected. The models may be used as intended by naval architects and vessel designers, to facilitate risk-based ship design.

    Original languageEnglish
    Title of host publicationPSAM 2014 - Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management
    Publication statusPublished - 2014
    MoE publication typeA4 Article in a conference publication
    EventProbabilistic Safety Assessment & Management Conference - Honolulu, United States
    Duration: 22 Jun 201427 Jun 2014
    Conference number: 12


    ConferenceProbabilistic Safety Assessment & Management Conference
    Abbreviated titlePSAM
    Country/TerritoryUnited States


    • Bayesian belief networks
    • Collision probability
    • Grounding probability
    • Risk assessment
    • Risk-based ship design


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