Abstract
Flood modelling in urban areas is usually undertaken using stormwater tools, which are complex and time-consuming in terms of parametrization. To replace them, this research developed a methodology for predicting flooding probability in urban watersheds (sewersheds) through the modelling of peak flow rates from a set of watershed and sewer network-related factors relevant for the occurrence of floods. This was addressed through the stepped integration of Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Multiple Nonlinear Regression (MNR) and Multiple Binary Logistic Regression (MBLR). A case study of a sewershed in Espoo (Finland) was used to validate the proposed approach and test it for future estimates, enabling the prediction of flooding probabilities under different Climate Change scenarios.
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | New Trends in Urban Drainage Modelling |
Subtitle of host publication | UDM 2018 |
Editors | Giorgio Mannina |
Publisher | Springer |
Pages | 571-575 |
ISBN (Electronic) | 978-3-319-99867-1 |
ISBN (Print) | 978-3-319-99866-4 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2019 |
MoE publication type | A4 Conference publication |
Event | International Conference on Urban Drainage Modelling - Palermo, Italy Duration: 23 Sept 2018 → 26 Sept 2018 Conference number: 11 |
Publication series
Name | Green Energy and Technology |
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Publisher | Springer International Publishing |
ISSN (Print) | 1865-3529 |
ISSN (Electronic) | 1865-3537 |
Conference
Conference | International Conference on Urban Drainage Modelling |
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Abbreviated title | UDM |
Country/Territory | Italy |
City | Palermo |
Period | 23/09/2018 → 26/09/2018 |
Keywords
- Flood hazard modelling
- Multiple regression analysis
- Sewersheds