Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries

Theresa Falkendal; Christian Otto; Jakob  Schewe; Jonas Jägermeyr; Megan Konar; Matti Kummu; Ben  Watkins; Michael J. Puma

doi:10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7

Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries

Theresa Falkendal^*, Christian Otto, Jakob Schewe, Jonas Jägermeyr, Megan Konar, Matti Kummu, Ben Watkins, Michael J. Puma^*

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Scientific › peer-review

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Abstract

Global food security is threatened by the effects of COVID-19 on international agricultural supply chains and locusts destroying crops and livelihoods in the Horn of Africa and South Asia. We quantify the possible impacts on global supplies and prices of wheat, rice and maize. We show that local production declines have moderate impacts on global prices and supply—but trade restrictions and precautionary purchases by a few key actors could create global food price spikes and severe local food shortages.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	11-14
Number of pages	4
Journal	Nature food
Volume	2
Issue number	1
Early online date	13 Jan 2021
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7
Publication status	Published - Jan 2021
MoE publication type	A1 Journal article-refereed

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10.1038/s43016-020-00211-7

ENG_Falkendal_et_al_Safeguard_global_supply_chains_Nature_FoodAccepted author manuscript, 312 KB
ENG_Falkendal_et_aL_Safeguard_global_supply_chains_Supplementary_Information_Nature_FoodAccepted author manuscript, 1.78 MB

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abstract = "Global food security is threatened by the effects of COVID-19 on international agricultural supply chains and locusts destroying crops and livelihoods in the Horn of Africa and South Asia. We quantify the possible impacts on global supplies and prices of wheat, rice and maize. We show that local production declines have moderate impacts on global prices and supply—but trade restrictions and precautionary purchases by a few key actors could create global food price spikes and severe local food shortages.",

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AU - Konar, Megan

AU - Kummu, Matti

AU - Watkins, Ben

AU - Puma, Michael J.

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AB - Global food security is threatened by the effects of COVID-19 on international agricultural supply chains and locusts destroying crops and livelihoods in the Horn of Africa and South Asia. We quantify the possible impacts on global supplies and prices of wheat, rice and maize. We show that local production declines have moderate impacts on global prices and supply—but trade restrictions and precautionary purchases by a few key actors could create global food price spikes and severe local food shortages.

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Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries

Abstract

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SOS.aquaterra: Respecting safe operating spaces: opportunities to meet future food demand with sustainable use of water and land resources

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Grain export restrictions during COVID-19 risk food insecurity in many low- and middle-income countries

Abstract

UN SDGs

Access to Document

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Other files and links

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SOS.aquaterra: Respecting safe operating spaces: opportunities to meet future food demand with sustainable use of water and land resources

Cite this