Future scenarios for arctic shipping

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionScientificpeer-review


Maritime activity in the Arctic is on the increase, driven by multiple factors including the development of Arctic natural resources, climate change, regulatory changes, improved technology and operations, national and international policies, infrastructure developments, fuel prices, and the global economy. This article aims to identify and analyze such change drivers and to discuss how these might influence the future of three specific segments of Arctic shipping: Destination-Arctic shipping (operation between Arctic and non-Arctic locations), trans-Arctic shipping (operation between non-Arctic locations through Arctic waters), and Arctic cruising. The study finds that each considered segment of Arctic shipping is subject to a unique set of significant change drivers.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationPolar and Arctic Sciences and Technology
PublisherThe American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME)
ISBN (Electronic)9780791884393
Publication statusPublished - 2020
MoE publication typeA4 Article in a conference publication
EventInternational Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering - Virtual Conference - Online, Fort Lauderdale, United States
Duration: 3 Aug 20207 Aug 2020
Conference number: 39

Publication series

NameProceedings of the International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering - OMAE


ConferenceInternational Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering
Abbreviated titleOMAE
CountryUnited States
CityFort Lauderdale
Internet address


  • Arctic natural resources
  • Arctic shipping
  • Arctic shipping routes
  • Arctic ships
  • Climate change
  • Northern Sea Route
  • Polar Code

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