In this work, we consider the Bayesian optimization (BO) approach for parametric tuning of complex chaotic systems. Such problems arise, for instance, in tuning the sub-grid-scale parameterizations in weather and climate models. For such problems, the tuning procedure is generally based on a performance metric which measures how well the tuned model fits the data. This tuning is often a computationally expensive task. We show that BO, as a tool for finding the extrema of computationally expensive objective functions, is suitable for such tuning tasks. In the experiments, we consider tuning parameters of two systems: a simplified atmospheric model and a low-dimensional chaotic system. We show that BO is able to tune parameters of both the systems with a low number of objective function evaluations.
|Journal||INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL FOR UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION|
|Publication status||Published - 2016|
|MoE publication type||A1 Journal article-refereed|
- Bayesian optimization
- chaotic systems
- data assimilation
- Ensemble Kalman filter