Abstract

Simulation-based inference (SBI) is rapidly becoming the preferred framework for estimating parameters of intractable models in science and engineering. A significant challenge in this context is the large computational cost of simulating data from complex models, and the fact that this cost often depends on parameter values. We therefore propose cost-aware SBI methods which can significantly reduce the cost of existing sampling-based SBI methods, such as neural SBI and approximate Bayesian computation. This is achieved through a combination of rejection and self-normalised importance sampling, which reduces the number of expensive simulations needed. Our approach is studied extensively on models from epidemiology to telecommunications engineering, where we obtain significant reductions in the overall cost of inference.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 28th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS) 2025
PublisherJMLR
Pages28-36
Number of pages9
Publication statusPublished - 2025
MoE publication typeA4 Conference publication
EventInternational Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics - Splash Beach Resort, Mai Khao, Thailand
Duration: 3 May 20255 May 2025
Conference number: 28
https://aistats.org/aistats2025/

Publication series

NameProceedings of Machine Learning Research
PublisherJMLR
Volume258
ISSN (Print)2640-3498

Conference

ConferenceInternational Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics
Abbreviated titleAISTATS
Country/TerritoryThailand
CityMai Khao
Period03/05/202505/05/2025
Internet address

Funding

The authors are grateful to Art Owen and Dennis Prangle for pointing out relevant related work. AB, DH and SK were supported by the Research Council of Finland (Flagship programme: Finnish Center for Artificial Intelligence FCAI). AB was also supported by the Research Council of Finland grant no. 362534. SK was also supported by the UKRI Turing AI World-Leading Researcher Fellowship, [EP/W002973/1]. FXB was supported by the EPSRC grant [EP/Y022300/1].

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