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An additive Gaussian process regression model for interpretable non-parametric analysis of longitudinal data

  • Cardiff University
  • Åbo Akademi University
  • University of Auckland
  • Broad Institute

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleScientificpeer-review

100 Citations (Scopus)
263 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Biomedical research typically involves longitudinal study designs where samples from individuals are measured repeatedly over time and the goal is to identify risk factors (covariates) that are associated with an outcome value. General linear mixed effect models are the standard workhorse for statistical analysis of longitudinal data. However, analysis of longitudinal data can be complicated for reasons such as difficulties in modelling correlated outcome values, functional (time-varying) covariates, nonlinear and non-stationary effects, and model inference. We present LonGP, an additive Gaussian process regression model that is specifically designed for statistical analysis of longitudinal data, which solves these commonly faced challenges. LonGP can model time-varying random effects and non-stationary signals, incorporate multiple kernel learning, and provide interpretable results for the effects of individual covariates and their interactions. We demonstrate LonGP’s performance and accuracy by analysing various simulated and real longitudinal -omics datasets.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1798
Pages (from-to)1-11
Number of pages11
JournalNature Communications
Volume10
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 17 Apr 2019
MoE publication typeA1 Journal article-refereed

Funding

We would like to acknowledge the computational resources provided by the Aalto Science-IT and CSC-IT Center for Science, Finland. This work has been supported by the Academy of Finland Centre of Excellence in Molecular Systems Immunology and Physiology Research 2012-2017 grant 250114; the Academy of Finland grants no. 292660, 292335, 294337, 292482, 287423; JDRF grant no. 17-2013-533, 1-SRA-2017-357-Q-R; the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie grant agreement No 663830; and the Business Finland.

Keywords

  • OUT CROSS-VALIDATION
  • INFERENCE

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