Probabilistic models for the prediction of a ship performance in dynamic ice, supplement to: Montewka, Jakub; Goerlandt, Floris; Kujala, Pentti; Lensu, Mikko (2015): Towards probabilistic models for the prediction of a ship performance in dynamic ice [...]

We introduce two probabilistic, data-driven models that predict a ship's speed and the situations where a ship is probable to get stuck in ice based on the joint effect of ice features such as the thickness and concentration of level ice, ice ridges, rafted ice, moreover ice compression is considered.